Scandinavian Political Studies, Bind 14 (New Series) (1991)

Ola Tunander: Cold Water Politics. The Maritime Strategy and Geopolitics of the Northern Front. London: Sage, 1989, 194 pp.

John Kristen Skogan, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs

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In this book Ola Tunander, a Swedish research fellow at the International Peace Research Institute in Oslo, sets out to examine the US Maritime Strategy and its impact on Europe's Nordic region, a region comprising Sweden, Finland and Norway, as well as the Kola Peninsula - and lots of surrounding cold water. The title of the book has, however, also been chosen with reference to the chill of naval competition in the surrounding waters.

The perspective of geopolitics from which the author starts his analysis has the advantage of placing the Nordic region in a broader context than the more localized one which has often served as the frame of reference of other Nordic scholars when addressing aspects of the US Maritime Strategy, or naval matters in general relating to the region. The strength of Tunander's book lies in his employment of the broad perspective of global politics, grand strategies and basic changes in weapons technology as a background to his analysis. This approach allows him to provide an important and notable understanding of the increasing strategic interests in the Nordic region throughout the 1980s. He demonstrates how these interests are reflected in the Maritime Strategy, and in Soviet maritime dispositions as well. When he too, especially in the latter part of the book, reverts to a regional, or even sub-regional, frame of reference the analysis becomes more mainstream. Also his conclusions become more open to dispute.

In explaining the Maritime Strategy the author points out how various lines of argument have converged in support of it and how it suits certain American strategic concepts and interests, some of which being new and others having received increased attention over the last couple of decades. He also demonstrates how these concepts and interests carry a particular emphasis on the Nordic region.

All this is explained in an informative and persuasive way in the first part of his book. Additional interests and considerations, for instance relating to American domestic politics and inter-service rivalry, might have been added as possibly contributing with equal strength to the adoption and formulation of the Maritime Strategy. There also remains the question of what the Maritime Strategy really is - or was. Presenting it as the aggregate of all arguments put forward in support of it and all interests possibly served by it could be misleading and incomplete. A particular policy is not always chosen because of all the arguments presented in support of it. Sometimes it is even chosen despite some of the arguments offered in its favour. And then there is the problem of different officials having different interests and considerations in mind when giving it their approval. Accounting for a particular ambiguity in Swedish policy, the author refers to 'contradictory perceptions of different power elites making their own policies' (p. 120). This observation is applicable to American - and Soviet - policy as well. Lastly, there is the further complication that presently - or in the future - a certain policy may be pursued for reasons other than those leading to its adoption in the past. What stands are the capabilities produced by it.

However, these are not comments made in order to detract from the merit of
Tunander's inquiry into the background and state of the US Maritime Strategy. To
those interested in the subject his book is recommendable reading.

In the latter part of his book, dealing among other things with Soviet strategic interests and military capabilities in the North, Soviet submarine intrusions into Swedish territorial waters and confidence-building at sea, he becomes more speculative.Occasionally, least, his conclusions and their supporting premises lend

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themselves to questioning. This is partly due to the presentation of his arguments sometimes lacking somewhat in precision and stringency. In his words of acknowledgementat opening of the book he recalls being reminded to 'write as if writing for a sergeant'. At the end of the book he seems at times to have forgotten that laudable advice. Here he also exhibits a tendency to address and to express an opinion on too many questions at the expense of an easily discernible thread of argument. Even so, quite a few of his observations and conclusions presented in the latter part of his book - though some of them are overtaken by events - could have a stimulating effect on the debate on Nordic security. In the Nordic region parts of the past still remain in this field.