Ledelse og Erhvervsøkonomi/Handelsvidenskabeligt Tidsskrift/Erhvervsøkonomisk Tidsskrift, Bind 50 (1986) 2Megatrends as Driving Forces in Development of Management SkillsErik Johnsen *) SummaryManagement behavior is conducted in a milieu surrounded by stakeholders. When something happens here, and in the environment, threaths and opportunities will be absorbed in the management milieu. The management process can — and should, — be improved all the time. The trick is to use trends and megatrends as driving forces in the strategic development ofmanagement behavior per se. The purpose of this paper is to argue for a model based upon insights produced by contemporary researchers in the field. 1. Developments in Theories of ManagementWe began to look at the firm as an element in a macro-economic system. Later on we constructed the theory of the firm. In the beginning we looked at the firm as a judicial, an economical, a technical or an administrative unity . A relative closed system whose operations could be made more and more effective, could be optimized. Next step was
to see the organizatin as an adaptive system. A system
*) Professor, dr., Management Research Institute, Copenhagen. Side 214
according to
changes in the environment. This world view was related
The third step was to look at the firm forganization as developing system which was able to create it's own future, i.e. perform strategic management, primarily through interaction with the stakeholders. We were faced with the societal view, the internationalization aspect and the futurology point of wiew. This brief
history provides us with two significant developments in
the ■ from optimizing
and satisficing in a relative closed system ■ from relative
passive adaptive systems - to active
developing and learning systems. According to the
first wiew of theory, one could make forecasts on
Next step = 1
(known elements | steps allready taken, but not yet
According to the
second view, the formula would look like this: The evolution of management theory and -practice have provided us with knowledge of how to manage and to some extent how to avoid mis-management. The question is how we use the wisdom and how we develop new knovledge of the management process in a managed way. The answer is:
Organize an interactive search-learning process
Or put it in
another way: form a joint milieu and produce continously
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2. A Model of Management Behavior and the Management Milieu and its EnvironmentA management
milieu is formed by the actual interaction established
Management
behavior is defined as a joint acitivity combining three
Changes in the environment of the management milieu may, therefore "hit" primarily the objective-setting of the participants, primarily the problem solving activity or primarily their endevour to create a better language for their internal communication. Or, all three dimensions may be changed at the same time, although with a different weighting. Normally, this will be the case. Immediate
consequences of such trends, mega-trends of natural
driving - the common
frame of reference for management behavior (paradigm)
- the management
behavior of the individual participant is changed as
- management of
the management process per se is changed because The management milieu in a firm, in a public administration, in an organization, or in general in a "system" will normally be influenced by research activities on management. This may be "implicit" because the participants in the management process have had their world picture given in terms of models created by university researchers. Or, the influence
may be "explicit", namely if outside consultants are
All types of
deliberate management behavior are related to research.
Analysis of
trends and megatrends in management activities may be
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3. Megatrends in the Management MilieuThe management
milieu of a firm or a public administration is
considered Influences from
the environment is supposed to take place in five
3.1.Let us first have a look at the personal properties of the employees management behavior. And the social processes they have enabled themselves to establish in order to improve the ongoing management process in the organization. We can point at these tendencies: - the
acknowledgment that management is an interaction between
- the
acknowledgment that responsibility and power (related to
use of - acknowledgment
that continous individual learning — and, thereby
- that man must be conscious of his management behavior in order to improve his differentiated manager roles; not merely in his job situation, but also perform self management of his total situation regarding maintenance and development of his own identity, - ability and
willingness to take managership responsibility, - rational decision making is converted into the issue of creating valid and social acceptable information, and the role of the individual in this process becomes more and more a question of ability to give and to receive help in terms of consultancy, - contribute to a better political culture in the firm forganization through a continous improvement of rules of game concerning discussion-action, centralizing-decentralizing decisions and division of executive behavior between politicians and administrators. 3.2.The second bundle
of influences can be considered being transformed
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through the
professional work role of the employees and the
organizationas • from
specialized employees to "multi-function" employees,
- from acting as
a slave of a given technology to letting the technology
- from short-term
horizons for norms, standards and goals to continous
■ from the
guarding philosophy of "just-incase" to the demand for
■ from
concentrating on the behavior of the single element and
the isolated - from
product-quality in itself to product quality being a
function of - from the
philosophy of "product delivered" to service-management
■ from a
guardian-like production of need-satisfaction to
producing All these trends
presuppose that management behavior and professional
3.3.The third bundle of influences is carried through the specific stakeholder groups of the firm forganization. Strategic management is concerned with maintenance and development of each and every balance of payments to stakeholders. Information on new potential contributions and rewards belong to the specific firm and expresses local developments, not general trends. We are, however
faced with a general recognition, namely that
stakeholder-cooperation 3.4.The fourth bundle could be called "Societal developments". For the individual firm and her stakeholder groups these trends can not be influenced. Maybe the right name is Institutionalized Conditions. Common megatrends. Side 219
Their name is legion, and each observer has his own opinion of which is important. If we, however, take our starting point in the management milieu of the firm forganization, many researchers agree that we ought to work with following types of megatrends: - the
technological development can be looked upon as a sort
of natural - especially, one
is concerned with production technology as CADCAM,
- developments in
values and ethics, and developments in power structures,
- the
internationalization of the firm: creation of strategic
networks, - changes in the
division of work between the private and the public
- the challenges
of the service-society and the information-society,
The most
important tendency is, maybe, the development away from
a 3.5.The fifth set of
relations are concerned with the interplay of the
specific The paradigm of an actual management contains always some elements created in the professional management research milieu. That is the case in terms of world views, models, methodology, techniques, languages, and it is especially the case concerning the local learning and knowledge which is created through direct interaction with researchers in mutual projects ("Prospects"). The paradigms
of the actual management milieu and the
managementresearch Side 220
through a
research based education- and development program, a
At least we are
faced with the following tendences: - norms for a
decent management behavior is formulated analogous to
- management
behavior becomes more experimental in favor of
■ for
professional management behavior it becomes an objective
in itself ■ the
communication between research milieu and management
These trends
might be summarized in this way: - from chief
executive behavior to management behavior, ■ management
behavior is looked upon as a deliberate, differentiated
• from rigidity
in the management function of the firm to creativity in
4. The Management Research MilieuWe may arbitrarily look upon the management research milieu as a part of the environment of the firms management milieu, or we may perceive the two milieus as being one. It depends on the paradigms we choose. Being a
researcher, you can choose your own distance from your
research The result of these excersises is partial economic thinking which can be taught (in the sense indoctrinated into) students who later become executives with a bad conscience. What again causes an expensive auditing and ex-post control in order to search for cause-effect relations for better steering next year. Side 221
Acting as a researcher you can choose the opposite alternative and involve yourself directly in an interaction with the observation object with two objectives. The one being to become wiser and make better general theory and the other being to help your client to improve his management process. This action-research attitude produces a systems-like common world picture, direct participation in the management process of the client firm, and ex-ante steering in terms of strategic control. By the same token manager behavior and research behavior yield mutual consultancy. The research milieu is per se characterised by megatrends canalized through her own stakeholder groups and her own institutionalized conditions. In Denmark (and to some extent in Scandinavia) important influences are: - it becomes more and more common that students of business administration have a full time job beside the studies; this means that the paedagogical process based upon action research can be made more realistic, and in a not too fare future it can be integrated in the management development program of the firm and of the public administration, - the democratization process of the legal base for running universities have in itself created an experimental milieu for management (nonparticipative participant mangement with no explicit personal responsibility), - contract
research for firms and public agencies become legal,
which - basic research,
as well as applied research, is to a greater extent
performed The management research milieu is, of course, also related to those of colleagues (normally with a deviant set of attitudes and world picture), and to neighbour disciplines. Let us mention the following megatrends: - some sort of
specialization which again produces paradigms that are
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- a greater
degree of interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary
thinking in ■ an enormous
production, very difficult to overlook, but containing
• better attempts
to integrate our knowledge into a general theory of
■ active use of
megatrends for a better management of the research
behavior 5. ConclusionThe purpose of this article has been to point at some megatrends around our joint management- and management research milieu in order to use some of them as driving forces in creation of a desired future manager behavior. Performing strategic management of the management function itself. This can be done
by - linking manager
behavior and management research behavior together
■ using
megatrends as driving forces in the joint milieu in
order to - especially look
upon megatrends in these bundles: ■ developments in
stakeholder groups and in the institutional conditions
- development in
peoples insight, ability and will to perform man
- developments in
professional skills, also in colleague-organizations.
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